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Project title

ROADMAP: The Role of ocean dynamics and Ocean-Atmosphere interactions in Driving cliMAte variations and future Projections of impact-relevant extreme events

Primary Funding Agency

Marine Institute

Co-Funding Organisation(s)

n/a

Lead Organisation

Max Planck Institut f�r Meteorologie, Germany

Lead Applicant

n/a

Project Abstract

ROADMAP aims to expand current understanding of how the Northern Hemisphere ocean surface state and ocean dynamics influence the extratropical atmospheric circulation, as well as associated impact-relevant weather and climate extremes, across space and time scales, short-synoptic to decadal-planetary, under both present day and future climate conditions. ROADMAP will exploit the wealth of simulations recently produced in other (international) research activities, such as CMIP6 and single-model large ensemble (~100 members) of simulations as well as frontier ocean-eddy resolving simulations from H2020 project PRIMAVERA. Existing simulations will be complemented with dedicated sensitivity experiments, encompassing cutting-edge numerical modelling techniques, such as pacemaker experiments based on data assimilation and interactive ensemble modelling. The sensitivity experiments will partly employ very high-resolution atmospheric grid configurations. Novel observational indices will be developed to investigate yet poorly-understood historical ocean circulation variability. Analysis will be based on new advanced dynamical and statistical methods as well as novel approaches from the field of machine learning designed to infer complex, non-linear relationships. Analysis will also be performed in a multi-model framework, crucial for assessing the robustness of the results.

Grant Approved

�199,887.00

Research Hub

n/a

Research Theme

Ireland's Future Climate, its Impacts, and Adaptation Options

Start Date

TBC (April 2020)

Initial Projected Completion Date

TBC (March 2023)