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Project Code [CCRP-09-FS-5-2]
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Project title
Estimating changes of extreme events over Ireland using a multimodel ensemble.
Primary Funding Agency
Environmental Protection Agency
Co-Funding Organisation(s)
n/a
Lead Organisation
National University of Ireland Galway (NUIG)
Lead Applicant
Enda O'Brien
Project Abstract
The study focuses on the impacts of climate change on Irish weather extremes, particularly precipitation and its impacts in pluvial/fluvial flooding, drought, and wind. It will address a key issue: the uncertainty in current predictions. This will be done by using the most up-to-date sets of climate simulation projection data currently available. The project will also be linked with the EC-EARTH project in Met ?ireann and will use the simulation outputs from EC-EARTH to augment the available data. The datasets will be dynamically downscaled using a range of state-of-the-art regional climate models (including the new coupled atmosphere-ocean model developed in a current EPA Fellowship) run at very high resolutions (2-5km) over Ireland. The wide mix of models (GCMs and RCMs), and emission scenarios, associated with this ensemble approach will ensure that the uncertainty is adequately represented and quantified in the outputs.
Grant Approved
�213,558.92
Research Hub
Climate Change
Research Theme
Ireland's Future Climate, its Impacts, and Adaptation Options
Initial Projected Completion Date
01/10/2011