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Project Code [CCRP-09-FS-5-2]

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Project title

Estimating changes of extreme events over Ireland using a multimodel ensemble.

Primary Funding Agency

Environmental Protection Agency

Co-Funding Organisation(s)

n/a

Lead Organisation

National University of Ireland Galway (NUIG)

Lead Applicant

Enda O'Brien

Project Abstract

The study focuses on the impacts of climate change on Irish weather extremes, particularly precipitation and its impacts in pluvial/fluvial flooding, drought, and wind. It will address a key issue: the uncertainty in current predictions. This will be done by using the most up-to-date sets of climate simulation projection data currently available. The project will also be linked with the EC-EARTH project in Met ?ireann and will use the simulation outputs from EC-EARTH to augment the available data. The datasets will be dynamically downscaled using a range of state-of-the-art regional climate models (including the new coupled atmosphere-ocean model developed in a current EPA Fellowship) run at very high resolutions (2-5km) over Ireland. The wide mix of models (GCMs and RCMs), and emission scenarios, associated with this ensemble approach will ensure that the uncertainty is adequately represented and quantified in the outputs.

Grant Approved

�213,558.92

Research Hub

Climate Change

Research Theme

Ireland's Future Climate, its Impacts, and Adaptation Options

Start Date

01/10/2009

Initial Projected Completion Date

01/10/2011